BREAKING NEWS: Carl Webb’s Height, Error Margin .94%…Calculations…

Carl Webb Could Not Have Been The Somerton Man

The latest algorithm has nominated Eliza’s height as 5 feet 3.5 inches.. The anecdotal estimates were typically 5 feet 3 inches. As a result, we have recalculated all of the heights of Richard, Roy, and Carl based on the known and documented heights of Richard and Roy Webb.

I can confirm Carl Webb’s height with a calculated margin of error of just .94%. That in turn means that at the upper extremity, Carl Webb would be 5 feet 9.2 inches. That is close to a full 2 inches shorter than the measured height of the Somerton Man.

Based on this scientifically calibrated information, we can state with a high degree of confidence that Carl Webb was not the Somerton Man.

For those interested, here are the calculations:

Based on the provided data and methodology, the analysis indicates that Carl Webb's true height falls within the range of 67.2 inches to 68.84 inches.

Here is a step-by-step breakdown of the calculation.

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1. Percentage Error Calculation

The first step is to determine the percentage error for the two individuals with known heights to understand the accuracy of the photogrammetric method on this specific photograph.

• Richard Webb:

  • Formula: (|Estimated Height - Real Height| / Real Height) * 100

  • Calculation: (|68.5 - 68.0| / 68.0) * 100 = (0.5 / 68.0) * 100 = 0.74%

• Roy Webb:

  • Formula: (|Estimated Height - Real Height| / Real Height) * 100

  • Calculation: (|69.2 - 70.0| / 70.0) * 100 = (0.8 / 70.0) * 100 = 1.14%

 2. Average Margin of Error

Next, we average the individual percentage errors to establish a data-driven margin of error for this entire photographic analysis.

• Formula: (Richard's Error % + Roy's Error %) / 2

• Calculation: (0.74% + 1.14%) / 2 = 1.88% / 2 = 0.94%

This establishes a more precise margin of error of +/- 0.94% for any height estimations derived from this photograph.

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 3. Application to Carl Webb

Now, we apply this calculated margin of error to the photogrammetrically estimated height of Carl Webb.

• Estimated Height of Carl Webb: 68.2 inches

• Margin of Error in Inches: 68.2 * 0.0094 = 0.64 inches

• Probable Height Range:

  • Lower Bound: 68.2 - 0.64 = 67.56 inches

  • Upper Bound: 68.2 + 0.64 = 68.84 inches

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4. Conclusion

The detailed error analysis provides a more accurate and defensible height estimation for Carl Webb.

Based on the photogrammetric analysis of the Webb family photograph, the estimated height of Carl Webb is 68.2 inches, with a calculated margin of error of +/- 0.94%. This means we can state with a high degree of confidence that his true height was between 67.6 inches (5' 7.6") and 68.8 inches (5' 8.8").

This calculated range is significantly shorter than the officially reported height of the Somerton Man, which was 71 inches (5' 11").